759  
WTNT25 KNHC 082031  
TCMAT5  
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025  
2100 UTC WED OCT 08 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 54.7W AT 08/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.  
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 0SW 70NW.  
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 30SW 60NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 54.7W AT 08/2100Z  
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 53.8W  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.9N 57.1W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT...130NE 140SE 20SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.4N 59.7W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.4N 61.6W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.7N 62.5W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.1N 62.8W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.4N 62.5W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...120NE 150SE 50SW 80NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.6N 61.2W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 70SW 80NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.1N 56.9W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 60NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 54.7W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/0000Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z  
 
 
FORECASTER BERG  
 
 
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