714
ABPZ20 KNHC 090513
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED OCT 8 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA,
LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP90):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AND PERSISTENT AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH, ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK, WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
FORECASTER JELSEMA
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