202
ABPZ20 KNHC 091137
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 9 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA,
LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP90):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH,
ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, WHICH
COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
FORECASTER KELLY
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