038
WTNT25 KNHC 091439
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
1500 UTC THU OCT 09 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 59.1W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 0SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 180SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 59.1W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 58.5W
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.1N 60.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N 62.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.7N 63.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.2N 63.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 62.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.5N 62.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.3N 59.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 31.4N 54.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 59.1W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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