336  
WTNT25 KNHC 092034  
TCMAT5  
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025  
2100 UTC THU OCT 09 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 60.6W AT 09/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.  
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 70NW.  
4 M SEAS....275NE 180SE 60SW 120NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 60.6W AT 09/2100Z  
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 60.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.6N 62.0W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT...140NE 140SE 30SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.0N 63.1W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.7N 63.4W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT...110NE 140SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N 63.2W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 130SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 62.9W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 130SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.7N 61.3W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 130SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 32.3N 57.9W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 32.2N 51.0W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 60.6W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/0000Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z  
 
 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
 
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