682  
WTPZ22 KNHC 092038  
TCMEP2  
 
TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172025  
2100 UTC THU OCT 09 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 101.7W AT 09/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.  
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.  
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 101.7W AT 09/2100Z  
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 101.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.3N 103.5W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 10SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.9N 106.2W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.6N 108.7W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 22.5N 110.2W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 24.8N 111.0W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.8N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 101.7W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 10/0000Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z  
 

 
FORECASTER KELLY  
 
 
 
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