614
WTNT25 KNHC 100251
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
0300 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 61.6W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 61.6W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 61.1W
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.7N 62.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.1N 63.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.5N 63.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.1N 62.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.5N 62.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.3N 60.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 31.8N 57.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 95NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 32.5N 51.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 55SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 110SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 61.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
FORECASTER PAPIN
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