901
WTPZ32 KNHC 101147
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172025
600 AM CST FRI OCT 10 2025
...RAYMOND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFFSHORE THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 600 AM CST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 104.1W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM W OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ZIHUATANEJO TO CABO CORRIENTES, MEXICO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LOS BARRILES TO SANTA FE, MEXICO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 600 AM CST (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 104.1 WEST. RAYMOND IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H), AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWARD
TURN ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
THROUGH TODAY AND THEN APPROACH SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR OVER
THE WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A
WEAKENING TREND OVER THE WEEKEND.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB (29.47 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ42 KNHC.
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA THROUGH TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA ON SATURDAY.
RAINFALL: OUTER BANDS FROM RAYMOND WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN TO PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH SATURDAY. ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF
GUERRERO AND MICHOACáN, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED, WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IN MICHOACáN. THIS
RAINFALL WILL BRING A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN. ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF OAXACA, COLIMA, AND
JALISCO, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. MOISTURE
FROM RAYMOND WILL ALSO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH RAYMOND, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RAINQPF
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY THE STORM ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD WESTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND REACH SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR ON SATURDAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 900 AM CST.
FORECASTER KELLY
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