707
WTNT25 KNHC 110239
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
0300 UTC SAT OCT 11 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 63.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 63.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 63.7W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.6N 63.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.4N 62.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N 62.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.3N 60.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.0N 58.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.4N 56.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 29.8N 51.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 63.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
FORECASTER HAGEN
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