921  
ABPZ20 KNHC 130503  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:  
A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES  
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUATEMALA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LITTLE DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS WHILE THE SYSTEM MEANDERS WELL OFFSHORE. TOWARDS THE END OF  
THE WORK WEEK, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MORE CONDUCIVE FOR  
DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM WHILE THE SYSTEM  
DRIFTS NORTHWARD THEN NORTHWESTWARD NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE OF THE  
COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER JELSEMA  
 
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