797
WTNT22 KNHC 140849
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025
0900 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 44.1W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 150SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 180SE 45SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 44.1W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 43.4W
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.4N 44.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.5N 44.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N 43.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.5N 41.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 27.9N 37.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 15SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.4N 34.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 15SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.5N 30.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 25.9N 32.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 44.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
FORECASTER HAGEN
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