321  
ABPZ20 KNHC 141134  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:  
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF  
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN  
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS  
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION  
COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM IS  
EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT A SLOW  
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN  
MEXICO IS EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER BUCCI/CANGIALOSI  
 
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