440  
ABPZ20 KNHC 151136  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT WED OCT 15 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP91):  
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING SOME DISORGANIZED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF  
CENTRAL AMERICA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR  
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION  
COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND. THE SYSTEM IS  
EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT A SLOW  
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN  
MEXICO IS EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER REINHART  
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