523
ABPZ20 KNHC 152304
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED OCT 15 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP91):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING SOME DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE LITTLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT A SLOW
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD MOTION NEAR THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IS EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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