413
ABPZ20 KNHC 160504
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED OCT 15 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP91):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING SOME DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OR OVER THE WEEKEND. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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