015
ABPZ20 KNHC 170505
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU OCT 16 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP91):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING SOME DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS OR SO. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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