572  
ABNT20 KNHC 180523  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2025  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA:  
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC, ABOUT  
900 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE  
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS  
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE IT MOVES  
GENERALLY WESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT,  
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO  
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATE THIS WEEKEND, THEN MOVE ACROSS THE  
CARIBBEAN SEA THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
 
NORTH ATLANTIC:  
A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED WELL OFF THE COAST OF  
THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THE  
SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS THIS WEEKEND  
BEFORE IT TURNS NORTHEASTWARD OVER COOLER WATERS BY EARLY NEXT  
WEEK.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER JELSEMA  
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