206
ABNT20 KNHC 190535
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA (AL98):
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AND PERSISTENT AREA OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. RECENT SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE THAT
THE SYSTEM STILL LACKS A CLOSED CIRCULATION, BUT IS PRODUCING WINDS
OF 30 TO 35 MPH NORTH AND EAST OF THE WAVE AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH,
BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
BEGINNING LATER TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. BY THE
MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM WHILE THE SYSTEM SLOWS DOWN OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER JELSEMA
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