003  
FNUS72 KNHC 210926  
FWSNHC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COAST GUARD GI FORECAST...USCG  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1000 EDT TUE OCT 21 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS  
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST  
BRANCH AT (305)229-4425.  
   
DISCUSSION  
FORECAST DISCUSSION VALID 12Z 10/21/25 - 12Z  
10/22/25: RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO  
INCREASE IN COVERAGE TODAY THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS AHEAD OF A  
POTENTIAL TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE CARIBBEAN. SURFACE WINDS WILL  
REMAIN EASTERLY BETWEEN 10 TO 15 KNOTS TODAY, GUSTING TO 20 TO  
PERHAPS 25 KNOTS. STRONGER WIND GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORM  
ACTIVITY.  
 
WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE CARIBBEAN  
WITH A HIGH CHANCE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. HEAVY RAINS AND  
STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER MATTHEW TOWN BY WEDNESDAY TO  
THURSDAY.  
 
MATTHEW TOWN (MYIG 21.0N 73.7W):  
12Z-18Z BKN022 -RA WND E 12G22KT.  
18Z-22Z BKN025 SHRA ISOL TSRA TOP FL450 WND E 12G22KT.  
22Z-12Z BKN025 -RA WND E 15G22KT.  
 
LATITUDE = 20.96  
LONGITUDE = 73.69  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).EAST WINDS 8 TO 11 KNOTS.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTH SWELL 1 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.  
WAVE PERIOD.........4 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........4 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....86 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........75 93 93 99  
TEMP............81 83 83 84  
SFC WIND (KTS)..E 10G13 E 10G15 E 11G16 E 8G11  
SWELL HGT (FT)..N 1 N 1 N 1 N 1  
WAVE PERIOD (S).4 4 4 4  
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 2 2  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)3 3 3 3  
SST (F).........86 86 86 86  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).EAST WINDS 9 TO 13 KNOTS.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTH SWELL 1 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.  
WAVE PERIOD.........4 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........4 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET INCREASING TO 4 FEET EARLY IN THE  
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 2 FEET OVERNIGHT.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....86 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........99 99 99 90  
TEMP............84 83 83 82  
SFC WIND (KTS)..E 10G13 NE 10G13 E 13G17 E 10G13  
SWELL HGT (FT)..N 1 N 1 N 1 N 1  
WAVE PERIOD (S).4 4 4 4  
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 4 4 2  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)3 3 3 3  
SST (F).........86 86 86 86  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 KNOTS.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTH SWELL 1 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.  
WAVE PERIOD.........4 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........4 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET INCREASING TO 4 FEET EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....86 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........90 66 66 66  
TEMP............82 84 84 85  
SFC WIND (KTS)..E 9G12 E 10G15 E 14G19 E 13G18  
SWELL HGT (FT)..N 1 N 1 N 1 N 1  
WAVE PERIOD (S).4 4 4 4  
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 4 4 4  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)3 3 3 3  
SST (F).........86 86 86 86  
 
 
FORECASTER...AL/JW  
REQUESTED BY...AIR STATION MIAMI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...MARINE  
.TAG 2523592.7/NHC  
.DELDT 10/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LANDON.W.KLOPFENSTEIN@USCG.MIL,SARAH.R.WRIGHT@USCG.MIL  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page