535  
ABPZ20 KNHC 211135  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC:  
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF  
SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF  
THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM LATE THIS  
WEEK AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH, REMAINING WELL  
OFFSHORE OF MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER BUCCI  
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