634  
ABPZ20 KNHC 220510  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC:  
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE  
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR  
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS  
LIKELY TO FORM LATE THIS WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE IT MOVES  
GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER JELSEMA  
 
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