175
ABPZ20 KNHC 240519
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU OCT 23 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP92):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
WELL SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAVE
BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. HOWEVER, RECENT
SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE THAT A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE
CIRCULATION HAS NOT YET FORMED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY THE WEEKEND WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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