837
FONT13 KNHC 242044
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
2100 UTC FRI OCT 24 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
PT GALLINAS 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 25(30)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 32(36)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 16(20) 14(34)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14)
CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 4(15) 17(32) 19(51)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 13(22)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 16(21) 4(25)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
MONTEGO BAY 34 3 5( 8) 11(19) 12(31) 28(59) 23(82) 5(87)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 18(23) 28(51) 9(60)
MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 22(31) 7(38)
KINGSTON 34 4 17(21) 31(52) 16(68) 14(82) 6(88) 3(91)
KINGSTON 50 X 3( 3) 10(13) 15(28) 19(47) 9(56) 4(60)
KINGSTON 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 13(23) 9(32) 5(37)
LES CAYES 34 6 15(21) 7(28) 3(31) 3(34) 7(41) 5(46)
LES CAYES 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 6(14)
LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 7 9(16) 5(21) 2(23) 3(26) 5(31) 9(40)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAPE BEATA 34 6 7(13) 3(16) 2(18) 2(20) 2(22) 5(27)
PUERTO PLATA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 11(16)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7)
FORECASTER PAPIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page