059
WTPZ23 KNHC 251450
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM SONIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182025
1500 UTC SAT OCT 25 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 118.1W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 118.1W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 117.8W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.6N 118.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 13.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.9N 120.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.4N 121.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.9N 122.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.2N 123.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 15.0N 126.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 118.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page