822  
FNUS72 KNHC 281551  
FWSNHC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AS MIA CG SAR RESPONSE...USCG AS MIAMI  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1200 EDT TUE OCT 28 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0120 EDT ON OCTOBER 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS  
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST  
BRANCH AT (305)229-4425.  
   
DISCUSSION  
PLEASE CONTACT 305-229-4427 OR 305-229-4424 IF  
ADDITIONAL FORECASTS ARE NEEDED ON A RECURRING BASIS, AND IF  
AVIATION WEATHER PARAMETERS ARE NEEDED SO THAT WE MAY REQUEST THEM  
FROM THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER ASAP.  
 
HURRICANE MELISSA IS NEAR 17.9N 77.9W AT 11 AM EDT, AND IS MOVING  
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 160 KT WITH  
GUSTS TO 190 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 892 MB. MELISSA  
WILL MOVE TO 19.0N 77.1W THIS EVENING, INLAND TO 21.0N 75.7W WED  
MORNING, 23.4N 74.1W WED EVENING, 26.6N 71.5W THU MORNING, 30.8N  
67.5W THU EVENING.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER THE SPOT  
FORECAST AREA, WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THERE WEDNESDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 83 ABOVE ZERO.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 KNOTS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
SWELL HEIGHT........EAST SWELL 2 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........4 FEET EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....85 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........M M 99 99 99 99 99 99 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....M M SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....M M RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........M M ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............M M 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72  
SFC WND DIR.....M M SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E  
SFC WND SPD KTS.M M 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 10  
SFC WND GST.....M M 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15  
SWELL DIRECTION.M M SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E  
SWELL HGT (FT)..M M 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
WAVE PERIOD (S).M M 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11  
WIND WAVE (FT)..M M 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)M M 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
SST (F).........85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS  
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 82 ABOVE ZERO.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).WINDY. EAST WINDS UP TO 18 KNOTS SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHEAST UP TO 33 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 43 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.  
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTH SWELL 3 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........8 FEET.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET INCREASING TO 11 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....85 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72  
SFC WND DIR.....E E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE  
SFC WND SPD KTS.10 10 12 12 12 18 18 18 31 31 31 33  
SFC WND GST.....15 15 18 18 18 26 26 26 45 45 45 49  
SWELL DIRECTION.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
SWELL HGT (FT)..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 7  
WAVE PERIOD (S).11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11  
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 11 11 11 11  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8  
SST (F).........85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS  
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 84 ABOVE ZERO.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).VERY WINDY. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 39 KNOTS SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST UP TO 37 KNOTS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 58 KNOTS DECREASING TO  
48 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 8 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........8 FEET BUILDING TO 22 FEET.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........15 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....85 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72  
SFC WND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SW  
SFC WND SPD KTS.33 33 37 37 37 39 39 39 37 37 37 31  
SFC WND GST.....49 49 54 54 54 58 58 58 55 55 55 48  
SWELL DIRECTION.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SWELL HGT (FT)..7 7 15 15 15 15 15 15 21 21 21 21  
WAVE PERIOD (S).11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
WIND WAVE (FT)..11 11 13 13 13 13 13 13 15 15 15 15  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)8 8 14 14 14 18 18 18 22 22 22 21  
SST (F).........85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85  
 
 
FORECASTER...LEWITSKY  
REQUESTED BY...LCDR LLOYD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2524629.0/NHC  
.DELDT 10/29/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RYAN.S.LLOYD@USCG.MIL,D07-SMB-ODOAIRSTAMIA@USCG.MIL,LE.T.NELSON@USCG.MIL,TRAVIS.J.LEMKE@USCG.MIL,ALLYSON.D.HOLFINGER@USCG.MIL,BRENDAN.R.SULLIVAN@USCG.MIL,FRANK.P.MINOPOLI@USCG.MIL,JOHN.W.SCHULTZ@USCG.MIL,RACHEL.H.CARTER@USCG.MIL  
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