038
FNUS72 KNHC 290747
FWSNHC
SPOT FORECAST FOR AS MIA CG SAR RESPONSE...USCG AS MIAMI
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
000 EDT THU OCT 30 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 EDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
BRANCH AT (305)229-4425.
DISCUSSION
HURRICANE MELISSA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL BE
ROUGH TO 15 FT DURING THIS PERIOD. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
BY THU MORNING AS MELISSA ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT TO GENTLE SPEEDS AND
SEAS WILL BECOME SLIGHT BY THU EVENING AND PREVAIL THROUGH FRI MORNING.
FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE MELISSA PASSES THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, ROUGHLY
100 NAUTICAL MILES TO THE NORTHWEST OF INAGUA ISLAND.
PREDOMINANTLY IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY IN HEAVY RAIN AND
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS, WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS, WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO MVFR THIS
EVENING AND VFR OVERNIGHT WITH WEAKENING WINDS IN THE WAKE OF
MELISSA AS IT ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM INAGUA
ISLAND.
29/08Z-29/12Z: OVC010 OVC080 TOP FL300. VIS 2SM RA. SCT-NMRS
TSRA. CB TOP FL500. WND E 25G35KT.
29/12Z-29/18Z: OVC006 TOP FL300. VIS 1SM RA. SCT-NMRS TSRA. CB
TOP FL500. WND ESE 35G50KT.
29/18Z-30/03Z: OVC010 TOP FL180. SCT TSRA. CB TOP FL500. WND S
40G55KT.
30/03Z-30/08Z: BKN030 TOP 080. WDLY SCT TSRA. CB TOP FL450. WND
SSW 35G45KT.
30/08Z-30/12Z: SCT-BKN035 TOP 080. WDLY SCT SHRA. WND SW 20G30KT.
LATITUDE = 20.8557
LONGITUDE = -73.7801
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 82 ABOVE ZERO.
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS.
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHWEST SWELL 5 FEET.
WAVE HEIGHT.........12 FEET.
WAVE PERIOD.........9 SECONDS.
WAVE PERIOD.........9 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........8 FEET.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 98 98 98 98
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72
SFC WND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
SFC WND SPD KTS.23 23 23 22 22 22 19 19 19 16
SFC WND GST.....35 35 35 33 33 33 29 29 29 23
SWELL DIRECTION.SW SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW
SWELL HGT (FT)..10 10 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 8
WAVE PERIOD (S).9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8
WIND WAVE (FT)..8 8 8 8 8 8 6 6 6 6
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)12 12 12 11 11 11 9 9 9 8
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 83 ABOVE ZERO.
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).WEST WINDS UP TO 16 KNOTS DECREASING TO UP TO 7
KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHWEST SWELL 3 FEET.
WAVE HEIGHT.........8 FEET.
WAVE PERIOD.........8 SECONDS.
WAVE PERIOD.........8 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........6 FEET DECREASING TO 2 FEET LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........98 98 61 61 61 61 61 61 39 39 39 39
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72
SFC WND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W W W
SFC WND SPD KTS.16 16 15 15 15 11 11 11 10 10 10 7
SFC WND GST.....23 23 22 22 22 17 17 17 16 16 16 10
SWELL DIRECTION.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
SWELL HGT (FT)..8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4
WAVE PERIOD (S).8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
WIND WAVE (FT)..6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 4
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 82 ABOVE ZERO.
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).WEST WINDS UP TO 7 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHEAST SWELL 2 FEET.
WAVE HEIGHT.........4 FEET.
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 20 20 20 20
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72
SFC WND DIR.....W W NW NW NW N N N N N N NE
SFC WND SPD KTS.7 7 5 5 5 6 6 6 4 4 4 7
SFC WND GST.....10 10 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 7 7 10
SWELL DIRECTION.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NE NE NE NE
SWELL HGT (FT)..4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
WAVE PERIOD (S).7 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 83 ABOVE ZERO.
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 9 KNOTS.
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHEAST SWELL 1 FEET.
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20 20 12 12 12 12 12 12 56 56 56 56
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT M M M M M M M M M M
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW M M M M M M M M M M
TSTM COV........ISO ISO M M M M M M M M M M
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72
SFC WND DIR.....NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
SFC WND SPD KTS.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 8
SFC WND GST.....10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 12
SWELL DIRECTION.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
SWELL HGT (FT)..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
WAVE PERIOD (S).11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...LCDR LLOYD
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2524629.0/NHC
.DELDT 10/29/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN.W.SCHULTZ@USCG.MIL,D07-SMB-ODOAIRSTAMIA@USCG.MIL,TRAVIS.J.LEMKE@USCG.MIL,LE.T.NELSON@USCG.MIL,FRANK.P.MINOPOLI@USCG.MIL,RYAN.S.LLOYD@USCG.MIL,ALLYSON.D.HOLFINGER@USCG.MIL,BRENDAN.R.SULLIVAN@USCG.MIL,RACHEL.H.CARTER@USCG.MIL
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