479  
FONT13 KNHC 290851  
PWSAT3  
 
HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025  
0900 UTC WED OCT 29 2025  
 
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 31(55) X(55)  
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14)  
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)  
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 3(37) X(37)  
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)  
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)  
 
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 85(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)  
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 39(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)  
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)  
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
ANDROS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
GREAT EXUMA 34 29 14(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)  
GREAT EXUMA 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
SAN SALVADOR 34 14 81(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)  
SAN SALVADOR 50 1 50(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)  
SAN SALVADOR 64 X 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)  
 
MAYAGUANA 34 57 37(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)  
MAYAGUANA 50 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
GRAND TURK 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
 

 
FORECASTER REINHART  
 
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