515  
FNUS72 KNHC 292345  
FWSNHC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AS MIA CG SAR RESPONSE...USCG AS MIAMI  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
400 EDT THU OCT 30 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 EDT ON OCTOBER 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS  
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST  
BRANCH AT (305)229-4425.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
HURRICANE MELISSA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA  
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH ALMOST MIDNIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING.  
SEAS WILL BE ROUGH 10 TO 13 FT DURING THIS PERIOD. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL  
IMPROVE CONSIDERABLY BY THU MORNING AS MELISSA ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD AWAY  
FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, REACHING NEAR 26.9N 72.1W BY 1200 UTC. WINDS WILL  
DIMINISH TO LIGHT TO GENTLE SPEEDS AND SEAS WILL BECOME SLIGHT BY THU EVENING  
AND PREVAIL THROUGH FRI. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE  
NW FRI MORNING.  
 
LATITUDE = 20.8557  
LONGITUDE = -73.7801  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 82 ABOVE ZERO.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHWEST SWELL 5 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........11 FEET.  
WAVE PERIOD.........9 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........9 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........8 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........100 100 99 99 99 99  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............73 73 72 72 72 72  
SFC WND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW W  
SFC WND SPD KTS.23 23 17 17 17 17  
SFC WND GST.....32 32 27 27 27 27  
SWELL DIRECTION.SW SW NW NW NW NW  
SWELL HGT (FT)..12 12 8 8 8 8  
WAVE PERIOD (S).9 9 8 8 8 8  
WIND WAVE (FT)..8 8 6 6 6 6  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)11 11 10 10 10 8  
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 83 ABOVE ZERO.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).WEST WINDS UP TO 17 KNOTS.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHWEST SWELL 3 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........8 FEET.  
WAVE PERIOD.........8 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........8 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........6 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........99 99 76 76 76 76 76 76 46 46 46 46  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72  
SFC WND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W W W  
SFC WND SPD KTS.17 17 14 14 14 10 10 10 11 11 11 12  
SFC WND GST.....27 27 22 22 22 17 17 17 18 18 18 19  
SWELL DIRECTION.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
SWELL HGT (FT)..8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4  
WAVE PERIOD (S).8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
WIND WAVE (FT)..6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)8 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 4  
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 81 ABOVE ZERO.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).WEST WINDS UP TO 12 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHEAST SWELL 2 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 FEET OVERNIGHT.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........4 FEET DECREASING TO 2 FEET EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........46 46 51 51 51 51 51 51 30 30 30 30  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72  
SFC WND DIR.....W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N  
SFC WND SPD KTS.12 12 12 12 12 7 7 7 7 7 7 8  
SFC WND GST.....19 19 19 19 19 11 11 11 11 11 11 13  
SWELL DIRECTION.NW NW N N N N N N NE NE NE NE  
SWELL HGT (FT)..4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
WAVE PERIOD (S).7 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11  
WIND WAVE (FT)..4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 83 ABOVE ZERO.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST UP TO 12 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHEAST SWELL 1 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET BUILDING TO 3 FEET LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET INCREASING TO 4 FEET LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 30 29 29 29 29 29 29 75 75 75 75  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............72 72 71 71 71 71 71 71 72 72 72 72  
SFC WND DIR.....N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SFC WND SPD KTS.8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 12  
SFC WND GST.....13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 17 17 17 19  
SWELL DIRECTION.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SWELL HGT (FT)..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
WAVE PERIOD (S).11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 4  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84  
 

 
FORECASTER...STRIPLING  
REQUESTED BY...LCDR LLOYD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2524629.1/NHC  
.DELDT 10/30/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RACHEL.H.CARTER@USCG.MIL,D07-SMB-ODOAIRSTAMIA@USCG.MIL,RYAN.S.LLOYD@USCG.MIL,BRENDAN.R.SULLIVAN@USCG.MIL,TRAVIS.J.LEMKE@USCG.MIL,ALLYSON.D.HOLFINGER@USCG.MIL,LE.T.NELSON@USCG.MIL,JOHN.W.SCHULTZ@USCG.MIL,FRANK.P.MINOPOLI@USCG.MIL  
 
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