213
FNUS72 KNHC 300755
FWSNHC
SPOT FORECAST FOR AS MIA CG SAR RESPONSE...USCG AS MIAMI
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 EDT THU OCT 30 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
BRANCH AT (305)229-4425.
DISCUSSION
HURRICANE MELISSA IS NE OF INAGUA ISLAND NEAR
24.3N 74.3W AT 11 PM EDT, AND IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT
18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT,
AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB. MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS FROM THE OUTER CIRCULATION OF MELISSA
WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT TO GENTLE SPEEDS THIS EVENING AS THE CYCLONE
CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA. ROUGH SEAS TO 10 FT
OVER THE NORTHERN ADJACENT WATERS OF INAGUA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
TO MODERATE SEAS THIS MORNING AND TO SLIGHT SEAS BY THIS EVENING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL PREVAIL TODAY THROUGH FRI MORNING BEING
SUPPORTED BY BOTH MELISSA AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
FORECAST VALID 08Z(0400EDT) 10/30/2025 - 12Z (0800 EDT)
10/31/2025
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING. BREEZY WINDS WILL BE MODERATE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND
BECOME LIGHT BY LATE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE AGAIN BY THIS EVENING, BUT COVERAGE WILL REMAIN WIDELY
SCATTERED.
30/08Z-30/21Z: SCT025 SCT070. ISOL SHRA. WND SW 15-20G30KT.
30/21Z-31/12Z: SCT-BKN035 TOP 090. WDLY SCT TSRA. CB TOP FL470.
WND SW 5KT.
LATITUDE = 20.8557
LONGITUDE = 73.7801
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 83 ABOVE ZERO.
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 14 KNOTS.
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHWEST SWELL 3 FEET.
WAVE HEIGHT.........7 FEET.
WAVE PERIOD.........8 SECONDS.
WAVE PERIOD.........8 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........6 FEET DECREASING TO 2 FEET LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 98 98 98 98
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72
SFC WND DIR.....W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
SFC WND SPD KTS.14 14 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 10
SFC WND GST.....22 22 19 19 19 18 18 18 18 18 18 17
SWELL DIRECTION.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
SWELL HGT (FT)..8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
WAVE PERIOD (S).8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
WIND WAVE (FT)..6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 82 ABOVE ZERO.
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).WEST WINDS UP TO 10 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST UP TO 8 KNOTS LATE IN THE EVENING.
SWELL HEIGHT........EAST SWELL 1 FEET.
WAVE HEIGHT.........4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 FEET OVERNIGHT.
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........98 98 91 91 91 91 91 91 35 35 35 35
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72
SFC WND DIR.....SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW N
SFC WND SPD KTS.10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6
SFC WND GST.....17 17 14 14 14 13 13 13 11 11 11 10
SWELL DIRECTION.NW NW NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E
SWELL HGT (FT)..4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
WAVE PERIOD (S).7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 11 11 11 11
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 83 ABOVE ZERO.
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST UP TO 8 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHEAST SWELL 1 FEET.
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET BUILDING TO 3 FEET EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35 35 24 24 24 24 24 24 52 52 52 52
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............72 72 71 71 71 71 71 71 72 72 72 72
SFC WND DIR.....N N N N N N N N NE NE NE E
SFC WND SPD KTS.6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 5
SFC WND GST.....10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 13 13 13 9
SWELL DIRECTION.E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
SWELL HGT (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WAVE PERIOD (S).11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...LCDR LLOYD
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2524629.2/NHC
.DELDT 10/30/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS.J.LEMKE@USCG.MIL,FRANK.P.MINOPOLI@USCG.MIL,ALLYSON.D.HOLFINGER@USCG.MIL,BRENDAN.R.SULLIVAN@USCG.MIL,LE.T.NELSON@USCG.MIL,JOHN.W.SCHULTZ@USCG.MIL,RACHEL.H.CARTER@USCG.MIL,D07-SMB-ODOAIRSTAMIA@USCG.MIL,RYAN.S.LLOYD@USCG.MIL,MICHAEL.D.BRIMBLECOM@USCG.MIL
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