038  
FNUS72 KNHC 301348  
FWSNHC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AS MIA CG SAR RESPONSE...USCG AS MIAMI  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1400 EDT THU OCT 30 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS  
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST  
BRANCH AT (305)229-4425.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HURRICANE MELISSA IS NEAR 26.8N 72.7W AT 8 AM EDT, AROUND 295 MILES  
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. MELISSA IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT  
18 KT, AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH SW WINDS  
WILL PREVAIL TODAY BEFORE WINDS SHIFT TO THE NW TONIGHT, THEN N ON  
FRIDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON THE OUTER PERIPHERY  
OF MELISSA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY, AND GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
WILL OCCUR NEAR THIS ACTIVITY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83 DEGREES.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 12 KNOTS.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHWEST SWELL 2 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........6 FEET.  
WAVE PERIOD.........8 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........8 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........4 FEET DECREASING TO 2 FEET LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........99 99 99 99 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83  
SFC WND DIR.....W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SFC WND SPD KTS.12 11 11 11 11 11 11 10  
SFC WND GST.....19 18 18 18 18 18 18 17  
SWELL DIRECTION.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
SWELL HGT (FT)..5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
WAVE PERIOD (S).8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7  
WIND WAVE (FT)..4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....82 DEGREES.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).WEST WINDS UP TO 10 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST UP TO 8 KNOTS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SWELL HEIGHT........EAST SWELL 1 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 FEET EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........100 100 86 86 86 86 86 86 47 47 47 47  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............82 82 82 82 82 82 82 82 82 82 82 82  
SFC WND DIR.....SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW N  
SFC WND SPD KTS.10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6  
SFC WND GST.....17 17 14 14 14 13 13 13 11 11 11 10  
SWELL DIRECTION.NW NW NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E  
SWELL HGT (FT)..4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
WAVE PERIOD (S).7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 11 11 11 11  
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83 DEGREES.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST UP TO 8 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTHEAST SWELL 1 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET BUILDING TO 3 FEET LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WAVE PERIOD.........11 SECONDS.  
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....84 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 47 34 34 34 34 34 34 36 36 36 36  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83  
SFC WND DIR.....N N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE  
SFC WND SPD KTS.6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7  
SFC WND GST.....10 10 8 8 8 9 9 9 12 12 12 10  
SWELL DIRECTION.E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SWELL HGT (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
WAVE PERIOD (S).11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10  
WIND WAVE (FT)..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3  
SST (F).........84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84  
 
 
FORECASTER...EA  
REQUESTED BY...LCDR LLOYD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2524629.3/NHC  
.DELDT 10/30/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FRANK.P.MINOPOLI@USCG.MIL,RYAN.S.LLOYD@USCG.MIL,D07-SMB-ODOAIRSTAMIA@USCG.MIL,JOHN.W.SCHULTZ@USCG.MIL,RACHEL.H.CARTER@USCG.MIL,LE.T.NELSON@USCG.MIL,TRAVIS.J.LEMKE@USCG.MIL,ALLYSON.D.HOLFINGER@USCG.MIL,BRENDAN.R.SULLIVAN@USCG.MIL  
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