671
WTNT33 KNHC 302351
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MELISSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
800 PM AST THU OCT 30 2025
...MELISSA BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY
NORTHEASTWARD...
...CONDITIONS IN BERMUDA WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.3N 68.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...51 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN BERMUDA BEFORE TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS REACH THE
ISLAND SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET TODAY.
AFTER MELISSA BECOMES POST-TROPICAL, A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS IS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AVALON PENINSULA OF
NEWFOUNDLAND FRIDAY NIGHT. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON IMPACTS IN
CANADA, SEE THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER WEBSITE AT
HTTPS://WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 68.9 WEST. MELISSA IS
MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 32 MPH (51 KM/H). AN EVEN
FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF MELISSA IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE
NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT AND PASS SOUTH OF THE AVALON PENINSULA
OF NEWFOUNDLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH (165 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY THROUGH EVENING.
HOWEVER, MELISSA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
AND BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES (405 KM). AUTOMATED STATIONS ON BERMUDA HAVE BEEN REPORTING
WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) DURING THE PAST HOUR.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 970 MB (28.65 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR MELISSA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT43 KNHC.
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN ON BERMUDA SHORTLY, WITH
HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THERE TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FRIDAY
NIGHT.
RAINFALL: FOR BERMUDA, OUTER BANDS OF MELISSA MAY BRING 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT.
A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
MELISSA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT3.SHTML?RAINQPF
STORM SURGE: COASTAL FLOODING FROM STORM SURGE IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE WINDS FOR BERMUDA.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY MELISSA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF HISPANIOLA, CUBA, THE BAHAMAS, THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SWELLS GENERATED BY MELISSA
ARE ALSO LIKELY TO REACH THE COAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
AND ATLANTIC CANADA FRIDAY AND PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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