241
WTNT33 KNHC 310543
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MELISSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
200 AM AST FRI OCT 31 2025
...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS REPORTED ON BERMUDA AS MELISSA MAKES
ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE ISLAND...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.4N 65.5W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
AFTER MELISSA BECOMES POST-TROPICAL, A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS IS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AVALON PENINSULA OF
NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON IMPACTS IN CANADA, SEE
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER WEBSITE AT
HTTPS://WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST. MELISSA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H). AN EVEN FASTER
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK, THE CENTER OF MELISSA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA
THIS MORNING AND PASS SOUTH OF THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
AS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH (150 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
AND MELISSA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW BY TONIGHT.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES (405 KM). THE L.F. WADE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ON BERMUDA
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 43 MPH (69 KM/H) AND A GUST OF
61 MPH (98 KM/H). AN ELEVATED STATION AT THE NATIONAL MUSEUM OF
BERMUDA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH (122 KM/H), WITH A
PEAK GUST OF 98 MPH (158 KM/H) DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB (28.74 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR MELISSA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT43 KNHC.
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS, PRIMARILY IN GUSTS, ARE OCCURRING ON
BERMUDA. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT.
RAINFALL: FOR BERMUDA, OUTER BANDS OF MELISSA MAY BRING 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.
A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
MELISSA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT3.SHTML?RAINQPF
STORM SURGE: COASTAL FLOODING FROM STORM SURGE IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE WINDS FOR BERMUDA.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY MELISSA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF HISPANIOLA, CUBA, THE BAHAMAS, THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS, AND
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND ATLANTIC
CANADA TODAY AND PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST.
FORECASTER REINHART
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