294
AXPZ20 KNHC 032106
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON NOV 3 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2030 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF AMERICA. IN ITS
WAKE, A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO IS
BRINGING GALE-FORCE GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REGION.
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE WINDS. THE GALE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TUE NIGHT, THEN STRONG TO
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH EARLY ON
THU. ROUGH SEAS IN NORTH TO NORTHEAST SWELL ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TO NEAR 09N110W BY TUE NIGHT.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE -
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 09N127W. ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
THAT POINT TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 05N-16N BETWEEN 87W-134W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON AN ONGOING
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE-FORCE GAP WIND EVENT.
LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL IS MOVING THROUGH THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA. LATEST ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASS INDICATES
ROUGH SEAS PREVAIL MAINLY N OF 20N. MODERATE SEAS IN NW SWELL
ARE OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS S OF 20N. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION IS ALLOWING FOR MODERATE OR
LIGHTER NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS, EXCEPT FOR
SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AS NOTED IN LATEST
ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASSES.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE THROUGH TUE. A SECOND SET OF LARGE NW SWELL IS FORECAST TO
ENTER THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA LATE THU, AND SPREAD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH FRI NIGHT.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO E WINDS CONTINUE TO PULSE IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS. GENTLE TO MODERATE SW TO W
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH GAP WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH THU. THE
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT WILL RESULT IN MODERATE N TO NE WINDS
AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN THE FAR WESTERN OFFSHORE WATERS OF
GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR THROUGH TUE NIGHT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE IS THE MAIN FEATURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
SUBTROPICAL WATERS. LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL CONTINUES TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF ABOUT 18N AND AND WEST OF 115W. THE
SWELL IS LEADING TO ROUGH SEAS. THE GRADIENT IN PLACE IS ALLOWING
FOR MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ELSEWHERE NORTH
AND SOUTH OF THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH WEST OF 105W AS NOTED IN
THE MOST RECENT ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASSES OVER THESE
WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN
FEATURE OVER THE WATERS WEST OF ABOUT 115W THROUGH MIDWEEK.
THE NW SWELL WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TUE. A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO APPROACH 30N140W ON TUE NIGHT, PRECEDED BY FRESH TO
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS THAT WILL
SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
ERA
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