802
AXPZ20 KNHC 230833
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN NOV 23 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0800 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N85W TO 07N100W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N100W TO 10N121W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W
AND 128W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS MOVING ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES. GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS ARE ALSO OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS
ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-11 FT OVER THE WATERS W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN LARGE NW SWELL. SEAS OF 6-8 FT ARE OVER
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF
MEXICO, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE. OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, SEAS OF 2-4 FT ARE NOTED.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE TODAY. LARGE NW SWELL
USHERED IN BY THE LOW IS SPREADING ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
WATERS, AND WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS
THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N GAP
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING. GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVER
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, POSSIBLE
REACHING GALE FORCE THU AND THU NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH
MODERATE WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM OF PAPAGAYO TO NEAR 92W.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT
RANGE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO E WINDS WILL PULSE
OVER AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION THIS WEEK, EXCEPT
PULSING TO STRONG TONIGHT, WED NIGHT, AND THU NIGHT. MODERATE OR
LIGHTER WINDS ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
NEAR 36N136W AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ TO 20N AND W OF
120W. NW SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS, WITH
ROUGH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING THE WATERS NW OF A LINE
FROM 06N140W TO 20N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-7
FT PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER IN NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS
THE AREA, COVERING MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS N OF 08N AND W
OF 110W TODAY BEFORE STARTING TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE EARLY THIS WEEK.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS N OF THE
ITCZ TO NEAR 20N AND W OF 110W THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
AL
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