599
AXPZ20 KNHC 231456
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN NOV 23 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1400 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N84W TO 07N93W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N93W TO 10N123W TO BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03.5N TO 09N
BETWEEN 77W AND 84.5W, FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W,
FROM 11.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W, FROM 11.5N TO 15N
BETWEEN 119W AND 127W, AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ
BETWEEN 120W AND 132.5W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA NEAR
35N133W THROUGH 30N128W TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WATERS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
N OF 20N. MODERATE TO FRESH N-NE WINDS ARE FROM 17N TO 20N
INCLUDING NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS AND CABO CORRIENTES, AS
WELL AS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA DUE TO A LOCALLY TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH TROUGHING ANALYZED OVER WESTERN MAINLAND
MEXICO. WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, AND OFFSHORE SW AND SOUTHERN MEXICO AWAY FROM THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT OVER THE WATERS W OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN LARGE NW SWELL. SEAS OF 6-9 FT
ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE OVER THE OPEN WATERS
OFF MEXICO, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE. OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, SEAS OF 2-5 FT ARE NOTED IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION AND
1-3 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, RIDGING WILL PERSISTS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH
THE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS FROM 17N TO 20N PERSISTING INTO THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, LOCALLY STRONG NEAR CABO CORRIENTES.
SIMILAR WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
INTO MID-WEEK. LARGE NW SWELL OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL
SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH MON
NIGHT BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. NEW NW SWELL MAY ARRIVE NEXT
WEEKEND. FRESH TO STRONG N GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE DIMINISHING. GAP
WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, POSSIBLE REACHING GALE- FORCE THU AND THU
NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO TO NEAR 92W. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE
ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE, EXCEPT TO 6 FT NEAR THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL PULSE OVER AND
DOWNSTREAM OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION THIS WEEK. MODERATE OR LIGHTER
WINDS ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT
SWELLS ARE FORECAST THIS WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA NEAR
35N133W THROUGH 30N128W TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY
OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ
TO 19N AND W OF 108W. NW SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION WATERS, WITH ROUGH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING THE
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO
07N125W. MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-7 FT PREVAIL OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS NEAR
THE ITCZ ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL WATERS AS DESCRIBED ABOVE
LEADING TO LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS.
ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER IN NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS
THE AREA, COVERING MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS N OF 07N AND W
OF 109W TODAY BEFORE STARTING TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE EARLY THIS WEEK.
A NEW SET OF NW MAY ARRIVE BY THE END OF THE WEEK. MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR
20N AND W OF 110W THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
LEWITSKY
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