947
AXPZ20 KNHC 240229
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON NOV 24 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 07N96W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N96W TO 10N120W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 101W AND
137W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
FRESH TO NEAR- GALE FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE AT THE ENTRANCE TO THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO OFFSHORE CABO
CORRIENTES. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL WEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS, AS WELL AS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT
RANGE WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. SEAS OF 6-8 FT ARE OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE
OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE 3 FT
OR LESS.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PREVAIL FROM 17N
TO 20N INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, WITH LOCALLY STRONG
SPEEDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. SIMILAR WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
MOST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA INTO MID-WEEK. LARGE NW SWELL WILL
PREVAIL OFFSHORE THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHWARD TO
THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH MON NIGHT BEFORE STARTING TO
SUBSIDE. NEW NW SWELL MAY ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND. FRESH TO NEAR
GALE-FORCE N GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE DIMINISHING. GAP WINDS WILL
INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BY THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, POSSIBLY REACHING GALE-FORCE
THU AND THU NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO TO NEAR 90W. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE SOUTH OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE, EXCEPT TO 6 FT
NEAR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL PULSE OVER AND
DOWNSTREAM OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION THIS WEEK. MODERATE OR LIGHTER
WINDS ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. NO SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE FORECAST THIS WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA NEAR
36N131W TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE
ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ TO 20N
AND W OF 110W. NW SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
WATERS, WITH ROUGH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING THE WATERS N
OF A LINE FROM 06.5N140W TO 17N111W. MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND
SEAS OF 4-7 FT PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION
WATERS.
THE ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER WILL START TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
EARLY THIS WEEK. A NEW SET OF NW MAY ARRIVE BY THE END OF THE
WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 20N AND W OF 110W
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
AL
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