199
AXPZ20 KNHC 240837
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON NOV 24 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0800 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 07N90W TO 07N107W. THE
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N107W TO 10N127W TO BEYOND 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN
104W AND 120W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AS WELL
AS OFF CABO CORRIENTES. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL WEST OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, AS WELL AS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE
IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. SEAS OF 6-9 FT
ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6
FT RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE 3 FT OR LESS.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PREVAIL FROM 17N
TO 20N INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, WITH LOCALLY STRONG
SPEEDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES EARLY TODAY. SIMILAR WINDS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA INTO MID-WEEK.
LARGE NW SWELL OFFSHORE THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WILL START TO SUBSIDE
TONIGHT. NEW NW SWELL MAY ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL DIMINISH TODAY. GAP
WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, POSSIBLY REACHING
GALE- FORCE THU AND THU NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO TO NEAR 90W. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE SOUTH OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE, EXCEPT TO 6 FT
NEAR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL PULSE OVER AND
DOWNSTREAM OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION THIS WEEK. MODERATE OR LIGHTER
WINDS ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. NO SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE FORECAST THIS WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA NEAR
36N132W TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE
ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ TO 20N
AND W OF 110W. NW SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
WATERS, WITH ROUGH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING THE WATERS N
OF A LINE FROM 06.5N140W TO 10N110W. MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND
SEAS OF 4-7 FT PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION
WATERS.
THE ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER WILL START TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
EARLY THIS WEEK. A NEW SET OF NW MAY ARRIVE BY THE END OF THE
WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 20N AND W OF 110W
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
AL
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