455
AXPZ20 KNHC 241446
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON NOV 24 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1400 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N77.5W TO 07.5N90W TO 07N107W.
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N107W TO 08N130W TO 09N135W TO BEYOND
07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 09N
BETWEEN 77W AND 83W, FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W, FROM
12N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 124W, AND FROM 06.5N TO 09.5N
BETWEEN 134W AND 140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AS WELL
AS OFF CABO CORRIENTES. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL WEST OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, AS WELL AS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE.
SEAS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT RANGE WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. SEAS
OF 5-8 FT ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AS WELL AS OFF CABO
CORRIENTES. ELSEWHERE, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE
OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE 3 FT
OR LESS, EXCEPT HIGHER NEAR THE ENTRANCE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL DIMINISH BY THIS AFTERNOON, THEN RETURN LATE TUE
NIGHT INTO EARLY WED, POSSIBLY INCREASING TO GALE-FORCE THU
MORNING THROUGH FRI MORNING LEADING TO ROUGH SEAS. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS WILL THEN PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC INTO
EARLY SAT BEFORE DIMINISHING. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OFFSHORE CABO
CORRIENTES WILL DIMINISH BY THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO FRESH
WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA INTO MID-WEEK, WITH
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN GULF THIS WEEKEND
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. LARGE NW SWELL OFFSHORE THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS
WILL START TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT. NEW NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH THE
COLD FRONT MAY ARRIVE OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NEXT WEEKEND.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO TO NEAR 91W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND
ELSEWHERE, LOCALLY FRESH NEAR THE AZUERO PENINSULA. SEAS ARE IN
THE 3-5 FT RANGE, EXCEPT TO 6 FT NEAR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT OFFSHORE NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND
PANAMA AS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS WILL PULSE OVER AND
DOWNSTREAM OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION THIS WEEK, LOCALLY STRONG AT
TIMES. MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH
THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. NO SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE
FORECAST THIS WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE WELL NORTH OF THE
AREA THROUGH 30N127W TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS NORTH
OF THE ITCZ TO AROUND 20N AND WEST OF 115W. NW SWELL IS
PROPAGATING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS, WITH ROUGH SEAS IN
EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING THE WATERS NORTH OF 06N AND WEST OF 108W.
MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-7 FT IN PREDOMINANTLY NW
SWELL PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
THE ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER WILL START TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
EARLY THIS WEEK, BECOMING CONFINED TO THE TRADE WIND BELT JUST
NORTH OF THE ITCZ INTO MID-WEEK. A NEW SET OF NW WELL WITH ROUGH
SEAS MAY ARRIVE BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF
THE ITCZ TO NEAR 20N AND WEST OF 110W THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
LEWITSKY
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