705
AXPZ20 KNHC 251517
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE NOV 25 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N78W TO 09N90W TO 07N115W. THE
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N115W TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ
BETWEEN 78W AND 83W, BETWEEN 105W AND 115W, AND BETWEEN 120W AND
135W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 35N128W. OVERNIGHT
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASSES INDICATED THIS PATTERN WAS
SUPPORTING MODERATE N TO NE WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. CONCURRENT ALTIMETER SATELLITE PASSES SHOWED COMBINED
SEAS TO 9 FT, PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. THE SCATTEROMETER ALSO
CONFIRMED MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND
OFF CABO CORRIENTES. LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE.
SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT ELSEWHERE OVER OPEN WATERS, AND 3 TO 5 FT IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL RETURN IN THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WED, POSSIBLY INCREASING
TO GALE-FORCE THU MORNING THROUGH FRI MORNING LEADING TO ROUGH
SEAS. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY DIMINISH BELOW GALE- FORCE THU AFTERNOON.
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL THEN PERSIST IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC INTO EARLY SAT BEFORE DIMINISHING. MODERATE TO FRESH
WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA INTO MID-WEEK, BRIEFLY
STRONG AT TIMES, WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHERN GULF THIS WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. ROUGH SEAS
IN LARGE NW SWELL OFFSHORE THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WILL SUBSIDE TODAY. NEW NW
SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT MAY ARRIVE OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA NEXT WEEKEND.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION,
WITH MODERATE WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM TO NEAR 92W. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE
3-5 FT RANGE
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS WILL PULSE OVER AND
DOWNSTREAM OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION THIS WEEK AND INTO NEXT
WEEKEND, LOCALLY STRONG AT TIMES. MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS ARE
FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. NO
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE FORECAST THIS WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE
AREA NEAR 35N128W TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS NORTH
OF THE ITCZ TO AROUND 20N AND WEST OF 115W. NW SWELL IS
PROPAGATING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS, WITH SEAS OF 7-10 FT
COVERING THE WATERS NORTH OF 08N AND WEST OF 110W. MAINLY
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-7 FT IN PREDOMINANTLY NW SWELL
PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
THE ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER WILL SUBSIDE TODAY, BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE TRADE WIND BELT JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ INTO MID-
WEEK. A NEW SET OF NW SWELL WITH ROUGH SEAS MAY ARRIVE BY THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 20N AND
WEST OF 110W THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
CHRISTENSEN
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