188
AXPZ20 KNHC 260841
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED NOV 26 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0800 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE GULF OF AMERICA THROUGH LATE THU. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH WILL SUPPORT FRESH
TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
TONIGHT AND WED. THESE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE BY
EARLY THU. A PLUME OF FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE GAP WINDS AND SEAS
OF 8 TO 10 FT WILL REACH INTO PACIFIC WATERS UP TO 500 NM
DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BY LATE THU. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL DIMINISH FRI AND SAT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA
SHIFTS EASTWARD AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOOSENS.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N103W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N103W TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN
110W AND 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 04N
TO 16N BETWEEN 125W AND 136W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
REACHING STRONG SPEEDS OVER THE CENTRAL PORTIONS. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS EXTEND FROM THE ENTRANCE OF THE GULF TO CABO
CORRIENTES. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SEAS
ARE IN THE 7-8 FT RANGE WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS AND EASTWARD TO
THE WATERS OFF CABO CORRIENTES. SEAS OF 3-6 FT PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC EARLY TODAY, INCREASING TO GALE- FORCE THU
MORNING THROUGH FRI MORNING LEADING TO ROUGH SEAS. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS WILL THEN PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC INTO
EARLY SAT BEFORE DIMINISHING. FARTHER NORTH, MODERATE TO FRESH
WINDS, BRIEFLY STRONG AT TIMES, IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL
DIMINISH THU. A WEAK COLD FRONT OR TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE
WATERS OFF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA, SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH
WESTERLY GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA SUN
NIGHT.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH
MODERATE WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE
ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE
WINDS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5
FT RANGE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS WILL PULSE OVER AND
DOWNSTREAM OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND
INTO NEXT WEEKEND, LOCALLY STRONG AT TIMES. MODERATE OR LIGHTER
WINDS ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. NO SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE FORECAST THIS WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN RIDGING NORTH OF 20N AND LOWER
PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 20N AND W OF 110W. THE TRADE
WINDS ARE CONTRIBUTING TO 8 TO 10 FT COMBINED SEAS IN THIS AREA,
ALONG WITH A COMPONENT OF LONGER- PERIOD NW SWELL. NW SWELL OF 7
TO 8 FT LINGERS NORTH OF 20N AND EAST OF 120W TOWARD THE COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. GENTLE BREEZES AND MODERATE SEAS IN A MIX OF
SWELL ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE.
FRESH TRADE WINDS AND 8 TO 10 FT SEAS IN THE TRADE WIND BELT
WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THU AS THE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH
OF THE AREA WEAKENS. A NEW SET OF NW SWELL WITH ROUGH SEAS MAY
ARRIVE BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND NORTH OF 25N.
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE THROUGH SUN.
AL
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