070
AXPZ20 KNHC 242015
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED DEC 24 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2000 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC
MONSOON TROUGH WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY
GAP WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WINDS IN TEHUANTEPEC WILL PULSE TO
GALE-FORCE TONIGHT. SEAS WILL PEAK AROUND 11 FT (3.5 M) WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY THE WEEKEND.
NORTHERN WATERS GALE WARNING: A GALE FORCE LOW NORTH OF THE AREA
NEAR 35.5N133W WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE FORECAST
WATERS, MAINLY N OF 29N AND W OF 130W. STRONG WINDS AROUND THE
LOW EXTEND ACROSS THE NW WATERS N OF 26N AND W OF 125W. THE LOW
WILL SHIFT NE AND FURTHER FROM THE AREA THIS EVENING, WITH
ASSOCIATED GALE FORCE WINDS SHIFTING N OF THE AREA. THE LOW WILL
WEAKEN THU INTO FRI, WITH WINDS OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA
DIMINISHING BELOW STRONG SPEEDS THU NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS
GENERATED A NEW SET OF LARGE NW SWELL WITH VERY ROUGH SEAS.
COMBINED SEAS OF 12 TO 19 FT (3.5-5.5 M) WILL SPREAD OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS, COVERING MUCH OF THE WATERS N OF 24N AND W OF
125W BY THU BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 06.5N94W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 06.5N94W TO 09N127W TO BEYOND 08N140W. NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH OR ITCZ.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE READ THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS ON A
GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
OUTSIDE OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY
WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6-9 FT, ARE NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, NW SWELL
OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA WILL BE REINFORCED BY A
NEW SET OF NW SWELL BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND,
SPREADING ROUGH SEAS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TONIGHT
INTO THU. MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THU NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM TO NEAR 90W.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 05N. MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND
SOUTH OF 05N. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE, EXCEPT REACHING 6 FT
IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH
WILL SUPPORT PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST TO EAST GAP WINDS
IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAINLY GENTLE
TO MODERATE NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PANAMA
DURING THE PERIOD, OCCASIONALLY REACHING FRESH SPEEDS AT NIGHT.
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
PLEASE READ THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE
GALE WARNING IN THE NORTHERN WATERS.
ASIDE FROM THE GALE WARNING DISCUSSED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION ABOVE, A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N121W TO 20N130W.
MODERATE WINDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EAST OF THIS FRONT. LARGE NW SWELL IS
MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN WATERS, WITH SEAS OF 8-15 FT NW OF A
LINE FROM 17N140W TO 30N119W. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE MODERATE OR
WEAKER WITH MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE GALE WARNING DISCUSSED ABOVE,
WINDS WILL BE MODERATE OR WEAKER THROUGH THE PERIOD. LARGE NW
SWELL WILL SPREAD ROUGH SEAS SE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL COVER MUCH OF THE WATERS N OF 10N AND
W OF 110W ON SAT BEFORE SEAS START TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS WEEKEND AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND ANOTHER SURFACE
TROUGH.
AL
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