026
AXPZ20 KNHC 082014
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU JAN 8 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2000 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N81W TO 06N100W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 06N100W TO 05N121W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 09N EAST OF 84W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE SW UNITED STATES IS LEADING TO
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE,
WHERE SEAS OF 7 TO 10 FT ARE PRESENT. ELSEWHERE OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA, MODERATE NW WINDS AND SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT ARE PRESENT.
IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FT
ARE OCCURRING. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SEAS OF 2 TO
4 FT DOMINATE.
FOR THE FORECAST, A LARGE AREA OF GALE-FORCE GAP WINDS AND VERY
ROUGH SEAS WILL OCCUR ACROSS AND WELL DOWNWIND OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC BEGINNING SAT NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH SOUTHERN MEXICO. NEAR STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SUN
NIGHT, WITH GALES PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST MON NIGHT. LARGE
SWELL WILL REACH AS FAR SOUTH AS THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS INTO
SUN, WITH VERY ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO THROUGH FRI
NIGHT. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING NORTH OF THE AREA OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WILL SUPPORT STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ACROSS
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TONIGHT INTO MON.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN AND THE
YUCATAN IS SUPPORTING FRESH NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO
REGION. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY GAP WINDS ARE ALSO ONGOING
ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN SW SWELL PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL SUPPORT
FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. PULSING FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA TONIGHT. GENTLE TO MODERATE
BREEZES AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING WELL NORTH OF THE AREA IS SUPPORTING
FRESH EASTERLY WINDS NORTH OF 09N AND WEST OF 118W, WHERE SEAS
ARE 7 TO 10 FT. MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE WIND WITH 6 TO 7 FT
SEAS IN N SWELL ARE NOTED SOUTH OF 09N AND WEST OF 130W. MAINLY
GENTLE BREEZES AND MODERATE SEAS ARE EVIDENT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL SUPPORT
FRESH TRADE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS FROM 09N TO 22N WEST OF 118W
THROUGH FRI NIGHT. NW SWELL WILL KEEP ROUGH SEAS IN PLACE FOR
WATERS NORTH OF 15N INTO THE WEEKEND. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER
ROUND OF LARGE NW SWELL WILL PASS SOUTHEAST OF 30N140W SAT NIGHT,
AND COVER THE AREA NORTH OF 10N AND WEST OF 120W BY LATE MON.
KONARIK
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