563  
AXPZ20 KNHC 210326  
TWDEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
0405 UTC WED JAN 21 2026  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND  
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING  
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,  
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.  
 
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH  
0300 UTC.  
   
..SPECIAL FEATURES  
 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN  
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE EASTERN NORTH  
PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING GALE- FORCE N GAP WINDS OVER  
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS GALE, ALONG WITH ROUGH SEAS, WILL  
LIKELY LAST INTO WED MORNING. MARINE INTERESTS TRANSITING ACROSS  
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC INTO THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK SHOULD  
BE AWARE OF THESE GALE- FORCE GAP WINDS AND TAKE THE NECESSARY  
ACTION TO AVOID HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS OVER THE AFFECTED  
WATERS.  
 
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL  
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE-  
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA/GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.  
   
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH  
 
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N84W TO 04N100W. THE ITCZ  
CONTINUES FROM 04N100W TO 08N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE  
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W, FROM  
06N TO 09N, AND FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W.  
   
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO  
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION.  
REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS.  
 
OUTSIDE OF THE TEHUANTEPEC AREA, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND  
MODERATE SEAS PERSIST ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS.  
 
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE TEHUANTEPEC GALE, GENTLE TO  
MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,  
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...  
 
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FT, PREVAIL ACROSS  
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, EXTENDING SW TO 90W. ROUGH SEAS OF 7 TO 9  
FT ARE WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR IN SWELL GENERATED  
BY THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT. ELSEWHERE,  
WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER WITH SEAS IN THE 3 TO 5 FT RANGE.  
 
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE  
NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH  
WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE  
PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL  
ALSO SUPPORT PULSING OF MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS OVER THE GULF  
OF PANAMA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL BE  
MODERATE OR WEAKER OVER THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH THE END OF  
THE WEEK. NW TO N SWELL GENERATED BY GALES OVER THE GULF OF  
TEHUANTEPEC WILL BRING ROUGH SEAS WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA AND EL  
SALVADOR THROUGH MIDWEEK.  
   
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA  
 
LARGE NW SWELL OF 8 TO 9 FT COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 15N AND  
WEST OF 130W. GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES AND MODERATE COMBINED  
SEAS, PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL, DOMINATE ELSEWHERE.  
 
FOR THE FORECAST, THE LARGE NW SWELL WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE  
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS FROM THE  
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND GULF OF PAPAGAYO GAP WILL SPREAD INTO THE  
REGION THROUGH TONIGHT ALONG WITH SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE,  
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MODERATE OR WEAKER, WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8  
FT, FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
 
 
CHRISTENSEN  
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