172
AXPZ20 KNHC 221932
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU JAN 22 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1930 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N85W TO 05N100W. THE
ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 05N100W TO 07N127W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED E OF 80W, FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN
97W AND 118W, AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
WITH SEAS IN THE 6 TO 8 FT RANGE. OUTSIDE OF THE TEHUANTEPEC
AREA, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PERSIST ACROSS
THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND OCCASIONALLY
ROUGH SEAS WILL PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
WILL START SUN NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MON THROUGH
TUE NIGHT, WITH STRONG GALES POSSIBLE MON NIGHT, ACCOMPANIED BY
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT, PREVAIL ACROSS
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO 90W. ELSEWHERE,
WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER WITH SEAS IN THE 3 TO 5 FT RANGE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH
WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE
PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH AT LEAST FRI. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL BE
MODERATE OR WEAKER OVER THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
THE WEEK. A POSSIBLE GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT OVER TEHUANTEPEC
WILL BRING A SET OF LARGE NW TO N SWELL OVER THE WATERS WELL
OFFSHORE GUATEMALA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES AND MODERATE COMBINED SEAS, PRIMARILY
IN NW SWELL, DOMINATE THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MODERATE OR WEAKER, WITH
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT, FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FRESH TO STRONG
SW WINDS, ALONG WITH LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL, WILL MOVE INTO THE
WATERS NORTH OF 25N AND WEST OF 135W MON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OF 30N140W BY MON NIGHT.
AL
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