525
AXPZ20 KNHC 230407
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI JAN 23 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0330 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 09N84W TO 06N92W TO
05N100W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 05N100W TO 07N120W TO 06N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03N TO 13N BETWEEN
107W AND 121W, AND FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 138W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WITH SEAS IN THE 5 TO 8 FT RANGE. OUTSIDE OF THE
TEHUANTEPEC AREA, WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE AND SEAS MODERATE TO
6 FT IN NW SWELL, EXCEPT FOR SLIGHT SEAS ALONG THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. OTHERWISE, LOCALLY MODERATE N TO NW WINDS ARE LIKELY
ONGOING OFFSHORE JALISCO, MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND OCCASIONALLY
ROUGH SEAS WILL PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
FRI MORNING. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL ENTER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
OFFSHORE WATERS FRI EVENING, SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO
SW WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NW WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT EARLY SAT MORNING, AND WINDS IN THE VICINITY OF THE
TROUGH WILL FRESHEN THROUGH SAT EVENING, ALSO AFFECTING THE
ENTRACE OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SUN NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT. OTHERWISE, ANOTHER GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL START MON MORNING WITH GALE-FORCE WINDS
LIKELY REACHING STORM-FORCE BRIEFLY MON EVENING. STRONG GALES
WILL THEN CONTINUE MON AND END TUE NIGHT. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
SEAS EXPECTED DURING THE GAP WIND EVENT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT, PREVAIL ACROSS
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO 90W. ELSEWHERE,
WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER WITH SEAS IN THE 3 TO 5 FT RANGE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH
WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE
PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH AT LEAST FRI. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL BE
MODERATE OR WEAKER OVER THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
THE WEEK. A POSSIBLE GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT OVER TEHUANTEPEC
WILL BRING A SET OF LARGE NW TO N SWELL OVER THE WATERS WELL
OFFSHORE GUATEMALA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES AND MODERATE COMBINED SEAS, PRIMARILY
IN NW SWELL, DOMINATE THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MODERATE OR WEAKER, WITH
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT, FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FRESH TO STRONG
SW WINDS, ALONG WITH LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL, WILL MOVE INTO THE
WATERS NORTH OF 25N AND WEST OF 135W MON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OF 30N140W BY MON NIGHT.
RAMOS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page