476
AXPZ20 KNHC 020830
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON FEB 2 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE EASTERN NORTH
PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING STRONG GALE-FORCE WINDS UP
TO 40 KT, AND VERY ROUGH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 15 FT, IN THE
TEHUANTEPEC REGION. WINDS WILL VERY GRADUALLY DIMINISH, FALLING
BELOW GALE-FORCE BY TUE MORNING. ANOTHER GALE FORCE GAP WIND
EVENT IS POSSIBLE IN TEHUANTEPEC STARTING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
GULF OF PAPAGAYO GALE WARNING: NEAR-GALE TO GALE-FORCE NE TO E
GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TUE
MORNING AS AN ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES
HELPS MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT. SEAS WILL PEAK NEAR 12
FT WITH THESE WINDS.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08.5N83W TO 04N97W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 04N97W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 78W AND 97W, AND
FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 121W AND 140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE DETAILS.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER
WITH MODERATE SEAS, EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, A SET OF NW
SWELL WILL IMPACT THE WATERS W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH TUE. ANOTHER SET OF LARGE NW SWELL WILL ENTER THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THE END OF THE WEEK, SPREADING ACROSS
THE WATERS W OF 110W DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE DETAILS.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAIL
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. ROUGH SEAS ARE WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
AND WESTERN EL SALVADOR DUE TO A PERSISTENT AND STRONG GALE-FORCE
GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, A GALE-FORCE
GAP WIND EVENT OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL PRODUCE ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH SEAS OVER THE WESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR
WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, AND THEN AGAIN LATE
THIS WEEK WITH ANOTHER GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
SWELL GENERATED FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO GAP WIND EVENT WILL
MERGE WITH THIS AREA TO MAINTAIN ROUGH AND CONFUSED SEAS EARLY
THIS WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS ALONG WITH ROUGH
SEAS WILL IMPACT THE GULF OF PANAMA THROUGH WED MORNING, WITH
SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN THE GULF OF FONSECA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A SET OF LARGE NW SWELL, WITH SEAS IN THE 8 TO 11 FT RANGE
PREVAILS OVER THE NW WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N122W TO 08N140W.
ROUGH SEAS GENERATED FROM A STRONG GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE
FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IS OVER THE DISCUSSION WATERS N OF 05N
BETWEEN 92W AND 105W. ELSEWHERE, SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ACROSS
THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE
AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING
MODERATE TRADES NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 20N AND WEST OF ABOUT
120W. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS IN MIXED
SWELL, PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WITH THE NW SWELL
DISCUSSED ABOVE WILL SPREAD SE TO COVER THE WATERS NW OF 04N140W
TO 30N120W EARLY TODAY BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT BY
MID- WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE NW
WATERS MUCH OF THIS WEEK WITH A GALE-FORCE SYSTEM JUST TO THE NW
OF 30N140W. THIS SYSTEM WILL GENERATE ANOTHER SET OF LARGE NW
SWELL WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS TONIGHT, AND BRING
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ACROSS THE WTARES N OF 20N, AND ROUGH
SEAS SPREADIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATERS W OF 120W THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
AL
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