626
AXPZ20 KNHC 240408
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE FEB 24 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0350 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING: STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ONGOING
ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNWIND TO ABOUT 14N WITH
SEAS TO 21 FT. GALE- FORCE NNE WINDS EXTEND FURTHER SOUTH TO
AROUND 12N WITH SEAS IN THE 12 FT TO 20 FT RANGE. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO STRONG GALE FORCE SPEEDS TUE MORNING, AND GRADUALLY
DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE UNTIL DIMINISHING BELOW GALE-FORCE
LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED MORNING. LARGE SEAS GENERATED FROM THIS
VERY STRONG GAP WIND EVENT WILL SPREAD WELL AWAY FROM THE
TEHUANTEPEC AREA, WITH SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER ALREADY REACHING AS
FAR WEST AS 105W, AND AS FAR SOUTH THAN 06N TONIGHT. MARINE
INTERESTS TRANSITING ACROSS OR IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
TUE SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS GAP WIND EVENT, AND TAKE THE
NECESSARY ACTION TO AVOID THIS HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS OVER
THE AFFECTED WATERS.
GULF OF PAPAGAYO GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING N OF THE AREA AND THE EQUATORIAL TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE NE TO E GAP WINDS OVER THE
PAPAGAYO REGION WITH SEAS TO 7 FT. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD, FURTHER TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT,
WITH WINDS REACHING MINIMAL GALE CONDITIONS TUE MORNING AND SEAS
WILL BECOME VERY ROUGH. GALE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THROUGH WED
MORNING.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML
HEAVY PRECIPITATION EVENT: OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS THE PACIFIC
COASTS OF COLOMBIA, ECUADOR AND NW PERU ARE EXPECTING HEAVY
PRECIPITATION DUE TO PERSISTING MOIST ONSHORE FLOW THAT WILL
INTERACT WITH THE ANDES MOUNTAINS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES (100 TO 150 MM) ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY 6 TO 8 INCHES (150
TO 200 MM).
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N83W TO 02N95W TO 00N108W. THE
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 04S107W TO 01S130W TO 01S140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03S TO 06N E OF 92W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON A STORM
WARNING FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
EXTENDS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OVER
WESTERN MEXICO. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE FEATURES IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE NW WINDS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WITH
MODERATE WINDS WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO.
MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO, AS WELL AS
ACROSS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, MODERATE OR
WEAKER WINDS ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH SAT NIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON A GALE
WARNING FOR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE
WINDS PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF PANAMA WITH SEAS TO 4 FT.
ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS, AND ROUGH SEAS, WILL PREVAIL DOWNWIND
OF THE GULF OF PANAMA AND JUST S OF THE AZUERO PENINSULA TONIGHT
INTO TUE. THE LARGE WIND FIELD OF THE TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT
WILL PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND VERY ROUGH SEAS
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR THROUGH
TONIGHT. HOWEVER, ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS
THESE WATERS THROUGH TUE NIGHT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE
WATERS N OF 11N AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BEING ANCHORED BY A 1022
MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N123W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND THE COLD FRONT OVER THE NW WATERS IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO NEAR-GALE FORCE SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND
LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
TO FRESH TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND W OF 110W. A SET OF NW SWELL
HAS PROPAGATED INTO THE NW WATERS, WITH SEAS IN THE 8-14 FT
RANGE. ELSEWHERE, SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FT PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONT WILL LINGER ACROSS THE NW
WATERS. FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH
SEAS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT. THE NW
SWELL WILL IMPACT THE WATERS N OF 10N AND W OF 130W THROUGH
MIDWEEK. A SURFACE LOW MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF FRESH TO
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS. COMBINED SWELL GENERATED
FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND GULF OF PAPAGAYO GAP WIND EVENTS
WILL BRING ROUGH SEAS TO THE WATERS E OF 112W. THIS NE SWELL
WILL SPREAD ROUGH SEAS WESTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS S OF 10N AND E
OF 125W THROUGH THU.
RAMOS
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