155
AXPZ20 KNHC 270224
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI FEB 27 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE ITCZ IS SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR AND RUNS FROM 04S108W TO BEYOND
04S120W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUPPORTING MODERATE NW WINDS WITH MODERATE SEAS. MODERATE NW
WINDS ARE ALSO OBSERVED ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, WITH SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
FORECAST WATERS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK, PRODUCING MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS WITH
MODERATE SEAS. THEN, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE OFFSHORE WATERS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE
NIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN A
STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE TO THE W AND LOWER PRESSURES OVER
NORTHERN MEXICO. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, GENTLE TO LOCALLY
MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS WILL PREVAIL. FRESH TO STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FRI NIGHT
AND SAT NIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH NE WINDS ARE BLOWING ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION WITH SEAS
OF 5 TO 7 FT. MODERATE N WINDS ARE ONGOING THROUGH THE GULF OF
PANAMA, WHERE SEAS ARE 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE GENTLE OR
WEAKER WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT, THEN AGAIN MON
THROUGH TUE NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS N OF AREA. SEAS
ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 8 FT WITHIN THESE WINDS. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH N WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE FORECAST IN
THE GULF OF PANAMA AT NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MON NIGHT AS N
WINDS FROM THE CARIBBEAN FUNNEL INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE FORECAST REGION
AND EXTENDS FROM 30N134W TO 20N140W. SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT FOLLOW
THE FRONT WHILE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 10 TO 15 KT ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE FRONT. A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR
32N125W. THE ASSOCIATED RIDGE COVERS THE FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N
W OF 110W, INCLUDING THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADES ARE PRESENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE RIDGE WITH MODERATE SEAS. ROUGH SEAS ARE ALSO NOTED ROUGHLY
FROM 04N TO 12N AND W OF 110W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER
THE NW WATERS THROUGH FRI AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE ON SAT. SEAS
FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT LATE ON FRI.
AT THE SAME TIME, THE AREAS OF SWELL IN THE TRADE WIND ZONE WILL
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT DURING THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
KONARIK
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