382
AXPZ20 KNHC 270804
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI FEB 27 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0730 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE ITCZ IS SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR AND RUNS FROM 04S108W TO BEYOND
04S120W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
RIDGING EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE
CALIFORNIA DOWN TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO, LEADING TO GENTLE TO
MODERATE NW WINDS FOR WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IN THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE 4 TO 6 IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND
2 TO 4 FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
FORECAST WATERS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH WEEKEND.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO FRESH N OF CABO SAN LAZARO STARTING SUN
NIGHT HAS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION AND THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PULSING NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STARTING TONIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH NE WINDS ARE BLOWING ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION WITH SEAS
OF 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE GENTLE OR WEAKER WITH SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH TUE NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
N OF AREA. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 8 FT WITHIN THESE
WINDS. MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FORECAST
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AT NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST TUE NIGHT AS N
WINDS FROM THE CARIBBEAN FUNNEL INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE FORECAST REGION
AND EXTENDS FROM 30N134W TO 20N140W. SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT FOLLOW
THE FRONT. A 1023 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 32N125W. THE
ASSOCIATED RIDGE COVERS THE FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N W OF 110W,
INCLUDING THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
TRADES ARE PRESENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE WITH
MODERATE SEAS. ROUGH SEAS ARE ALSO NOTED ROUGHLY FROM 04N TO 10N
AND W OF 110W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER
THE NW WATERS INTO TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE ON SAT. SEAS
FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT TONIGHT. AT
THE SAME TIME, THE AREAS OF SWELL IN THE TRADE WIND ZONE WILL
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
KONARIK
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