721
AXPZ20 KNHC 271521
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC FRI FEB 27 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 09N75W TO 04S83W TO 02S100W. THE
ITCZ IS SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR AND RUNS FROM 02S100W TO BEYOND
06S120W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ. A
CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS NEAR
03S90W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS WITH MODERATE SEAS. GENTLE
TO MODERATE NW WINDS ARE ALSO OBSERVED ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE 4 TO 6 IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND
2 TO 4 FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST
WATERS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO FRESH SPEEDS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO STARTING SUN
NIGHT HAS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION AND THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PULSING NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STARTING TONIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH NE WINDS ARE BLOWING ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION WITH SEAS
OF 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE GENTLE OR WEAKER WITH SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH TUE NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
N OF AREA. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 8 FT WITHIN THESE
WINDS. MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FORECAST
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AT NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST TUE NIGHT AS N
WINDS FROM THE CARIBBEAN FUNNEL INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE FORECAST REGION
AND EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO 21N140W. SEAS OF 8 TO 9 FT FOLLOW
THE FRONT. A 1023 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 36N127W. THE
ASSOCIATED RIDGE COVERS THE FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N W OF 115W.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES ARE PRESENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE WITH MODERATE SEAS. ROUGH SEAS ARE ALSO
NOTED ROUGHLY FROM 02N TO 11N BETWEEN 111W AND 129W, AND FROM
04N TO 07N W OF 137W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER
THE NW WATERS INTO TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE ON SAT. SEAS
FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT LATE ON SAT.
AT THE SAME TIME, THE AREAS OF SWELL IN THE TRADE WIND ZONE WILL
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EASTWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
GR
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